Trade Clash
Bid on hidden prediction market bundles. Outprice the room on a 3D globe.
Overview
Three streets. Seven positions. Sealed bids. Outprice or overpay. The globe decides.
THREE STREETS
Every lot is a 7-position bundle of real prediction market positions. Three rounds of sealed bidding. Progressive information reveal. The best pricer wins.
The Peek
You see the category, payout range, and your private "hole card" — one position only you can see. Everyone bids blind. All bids revealed after.
30s sealed bid · All bids revealed after
FIRST-PLACE WIN: ≥50% GAPThe Flip
One new position revealed to all players. You now know your hole card, one shared position, and everyone's Street 1 bids. Reprice accordingly.
30s sealed bid · All bids revealed after
FIRST-PLACE WIN: ≥20% GAPThe River
One more position revealed to all. Final sealed bid. Highest bid wins the lot. No early win — this is the showdown.
30s final bid · Highest bid wins
The Reveal
All 7 positions exposed — including burn cards nobody saw. True value calculated. Profit = trueValue − winningBid. Overbid = negative profit. The winner's curse is real.
Profit = trueValue − winningBid · Burn cards revealed
THE GLOBE
16 simulated economies. Real prediction markets. Every lot originates from a nation on the globe.
ANATOMY OF A LOT
Every lot bundles 7 real prediction market positions. Some you see. Some are shared. Some are hidden. The signals help you estimate value. The streets test your conviction.
Hole Card
At the start of each lot, you're dealt one private position — fully revealed (market, side, entry, price, size). Only you can see it. This is your information edge.
Shared Positions
One position flips for everyone on Street 2, another on Street 3. Combined with your hole card, you see more of the lot's true value as streets progress.
Burn Cards
At least one position stays hidden until the reveal. Nobody sees it. This makes every lot unsolvable — you're always pricing under uncertainty.
Payout Range
A deliberately wide bracket (2-3x wider than needed). The true value falls somewhere inside. Your job: narrow it down with the signals you have.
TWO GAMES IN ONE
The fun is adversarial price discovery, not gambling.
Price the Lot
Read the signals. Use your hole card. Watch positions flip on each street. Estimate the true value. The more you understand prediction markets, the sharper your edge.
Price the Players
All bids are revealed between streets. Who overbid on Street 1? Who's holding back? Who has a strong hole card? The real long-term skill is reading betting patterns, not just reading the lot.
